Taiwan’s Surveys and “One Country, Multiple Models” (Chinese version): 台湾的民意调查与“一个国家、多种模式”

Published: May 12, 2026

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Description

A recent survey conducted in Taiwan has sparked concerns because the results seem to suggest that a significant percentage of Taiwan people would “accept” “One Country, Two Systems”—the principle that China relied on to resume its sovereignty over Hong Kong and Macao in 1997 and 1999, respectively—in order to avoid potential conflict with China. A closer look at the survey question reveals its lack of clarity. Yet a bigger problem is that it is based on an assumption: should “peaceful reunification” with China occur, Taiwan’s relationship with mainland China would be “much like the relationships currently shared by Hong Kong, Macao, and mainland China”. Various sources, including XI Jinping’s remarks, suggest that the Taiwan model would be quite different from the models used in Hong Kong and Macao.

近期在台湾进行的一项民意调查引发了广泛关切,因为其结果似乎表明,有相当比例的台湾民众为了避免与中国发生潜在冲突,愿意“接受”“一国两制”——即中国分别于1997年和1999年所依据的原则以恢复对香港和澳门行使主权。仔细审视该民调中所采用的问题,便揭示了其缺乏明确性。然而,一个更大的不足之处是此问题是基于一个假设:即若实现与中国“和平统一”,台湾与中国大陆的关系“就像香港、澳门和中国的关系一样”。包括习近平主席发表的讲话在内的多项信息来源均表明,台湾模式将与目前在香港和澳门实行的模式相当不同。